Analysis of the Changes in the Population Structure to the Impact on Economic Development in Yixing
|School||Nanjing Agricultural College|
|Course||Rural and Regional Development|
|Keywords||Population structure Population by level of education Aging population Industrial structure of the population the model of GM(1,1)|
In recent years, the development of Yixing economic has made brilliant achievements, the gross domestic product (GDP) increased from6.355billion yuan in1993to80.582billion yuan in2010. However, while the economic growth, Yixing City’s total population and population structure significantly has changed, new features has formed in The Yixing population structure, for example:population growth for foreign growth, totally dependent on the growth of the total number of migrant workers, The natural population growth rate is negative; The aging of the population situation is grim, Total dependency ratio has declined but the old age dependency ratio increased significantly, Social security increased pressure; The rapid increase in the proportion of the urban population, the urban-rural structure is becoming more rational; The quality of the population has increased dramatically, but the lack of high-quality personnel, the overall level of education is still low; The proportion of tertiary industry to GDP and the employed population in the tertiary industry accounted for the proportion of the labor force population is a serious lack of coordination, Economic restructuring could not keep pace with the speed of economic development. Clearly, the population and changes in the structure to the development of Yixing bring a certain influence. Therefore, Analysis of the changes in the population structure in Yixing as its theme, Aimed at by the Statistical Yearbook of Yixing City, the fifth census, the sixth census Yixing production factors constitute data collection, collation, Comprehensive analysis the Yixing population structure change developments.Use GM (1,1) to do simple prediction about population structure. At the same time, Analysis of the Yixing population structure of the main problems,Yixing City rational allocation of resources, to provide a valuable reference for the development of a more rational and efficient population of structural adjustment policies, to promote of Yixing City harmonious society construction and development.