Research on the Risk Management of Overseas Investment Project
|School||Liaoning University of Science and Technology|
|Course||Technology Economics and Management|
|Keywords||Overseas investment Risk management evaluation index system Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method Expected probability analysis method|
With this increasing economic globalization, the competition between countries pays more attention to comprehensive economy strength and comprehensive national power, the Chinese government is actively implementing the“going out”strategy. Objectively, Countries urgently need some powerful enterprises to take the lead in the international market, striving to open the international markets, to make full use of international resources and provide enough experiences and lessons for the followed enterprises. On the whole, the overseas investment of Chinese enterprises was carried out relatively late. There will be relatively more problems and risk factors in the overseas investment. Therefore, risk evaluation and control are critical factors in determining the success or failure of the overseas investment projects.This article selects the“going out strategy as research background, with the basis of project risk management theory, on the basis of learning existing research results and risk indicators from project risk management, this paper selects the overseas investment as research object. According to research ideal which is from general to the particularity, it systemically researches on the risk management of overseas investment project.First of all, around the aspects of the development process of China’s overseas investment, models of the overseas investment, project characteristics and risk characteristics of the overseas investment and risk management processes of the overseas investment projects, this paper systemically elaborates these theories of the risk management of overseas investment project by using historical induction and literature method. Secondly, in order to achieve the comprehensive evaluation on the overseas investment projects’risks and benefits, combining with the risk characteristics of overseas investment projects, this paper focus on exploring the key risk factors and income indicators which affect the overseas investment projects and establish risk evaluation index system and income evaluation index system. And then, this paper selects fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method for assessing the risk of investment projects and expected probability analysis method for assessing the income of investment projects. Finally, this paper introduces an actual case. According to the risk management process, it involves the following aspects: analyzing the risk factors of the case, building the evaluation index system, using models for quantitative analysis, giving a comprehensive evaluation on the premise of the risk value and benefit value, and putting forward some countermeasures and suggestions depending on this case.This paper uses the method of combining theory with practice, combining quantitative analysis with qualitative analysis through the research. By establishing a systematic risk management process, this paper hopes to be useful for enterprises to launch a comprehensive evaluation of the risks and benefits in the overseas investment projects, take early measures for risk prevention and make the right decisions.