The Unity of Logic and History: An Important Dimension of Technology Foresight
|Course||Philosophy of Science and Technology|
|Keywords||Unity of logic and history Technology Foresight Important dimension|
This paper tries to predictable methodology of system profiling technology, from a unified approach to the dimension of the logic and history-depth look at the Technology Foresight effective method, and to enhance the level of application of the unified method of logic and history in Technology Foresight methodology system, enhance the Technology Foresight body in Technology Foresight process the application logic and historical unity of consciousness, thereby increasing the effectiveness of the technology foresight. This paper examines the role and impact of the logic and history of a unified approach in the process of technology foresight activities, as well as in the practice of technology foresight process, how to consciously use the methods of logic and historical unity, emphasis on Technology Foresight system. This paper argues that the emphasis on unity of logic and history is an integral part of the Technology Foresight important dimension, is one of the keys to enhance the effectiveness of technology foresight. This is the focus of this article, is the innovation of this paper. This paper is divided into four parts: Part 1: Based on the unified perspective of logic and history, re-carding of the Technology Foresight definition and actual value. Further tap the connotation of the unified approach of logic and history, logic and historical unity in the beginning of the application process technology foresight, intermediary and end, and leads to the importance of logic and historical unity of the Technology Foresight methodology. Part II: Technology Foresight Strategy, to discuss the role and influence in the logic system and historical unity of the Technology Foresight industry development strategy construct, and emerging technology strategy for three angles. Logical unified approach to the history of technology foresight to provide strategic support for the industrial development strategy to build principle, as well as to provide strategic guidance for emerging technologies. Part III: logic-based and unified vision of history to reveal the meaning and value of the logical and historical unity. Pointed out in the process specific technical foreseeable, follow the logic and the unity of the historical starting point, the intermediary and end of the process, and the deepening and give full play to the principle of feedback and advanced analysis combining the principles and advantages and disadvantaged analysis combined can deepen and enhance the role and influence of the forward-looking and optimization, convergence and collaboration, integration, and integration, communication and consultation and other characteristics of technology foresight. Part IV: The status of technology foresight and technology foresight activities in China from the unity of logic and history commenced its Application and prospect of two parts; logic from the micro, meso and macro level analysis and important position in the history of the unity of technology foresight, and a detailed examination of the logical and historical unity of technology foresight activities and its outlook. Summarizes the final conclusion of the full text.